DK Metcalf, Antonio Gibson and Odell Beckham among Eagles vs. WFT, Seahawks vs. Rams Plays
Sean Koerner, our director of predictive analytics, reveals his favorite NFL player accessories for Tuesday night. He has an all-time high of 500-394-9 (55%) on NFL bets he has tracked in the Action app, where you can follow all of his picks.
An NFL list Tuesday? It must be Christmas.
Seahawks vs. Rams and Washington Football Team vs. Eagles provide plenty of prop opportunities, so I’ve broken down four that I’m targeting below.
NFL props: Seahawks vs. Rams
Odell Beckham Over 3.5 receptions (-128)
Beckham will only get more involved in the Rams’ offense as we move forward. Last week, he rode 91% of Stafford dropbacks and saw his aDot drop to 6.2.
As a result, he posted a 6/77/1 line, and I think the Rams will continue to use him underneath with Tyler Higbee set to miss his second straight game.
I project it closer to 4.4 receptions and think it has a very high floor in this market. I would bet until -155.
Take: More than 3.5 outlets at FanDuel
DK Metcalf Under 74.5 Recreational Yards (-110)
It looks like the Seahawks will be without Tyler Lockett tonight, who remains on the COVID list. As a result, DK Metcalf should see a few more targets. However, the Rams’ defense will also be able to put in additional resources to slow it down.
Russell Wilson will likely lean on Dee Eskridge, Freddie Swain and Gerald Everett if the Rams have two or more defensemen on Metcalf. We’ve seen Wilson (frustratingly) walk away from Metcalf at times this year, tonight could be similar. I throw Metcalf closer to 66.5 yards and would bet 71.5 yards.
Take: Less than 74.5 receiving yards at FanDuel
NFL Accessories: WFT vs. Eagles
Antonio Gibson under 65.5 rushing yards (-110)
The football team has been hit hard by COVID both on offense and defense, forcing this game to Tuesday night. I think they will have a hard time moving the ball with Garrett Gilbert under the center, especially since they will be deprived of two offensive linemen including Brandon Scherff who is the leader of that o line.
Gibson’s rushed rise is affected by the potential negative play script and online line issues. I think they use him as a pass catcher as an extension of the running game. I would project it closer to 57.5 and would bet at 63.5.
Take: Less than 65.5 rushing yards at FanDuel
DeVonta Smith Less than 3.5 Rec (+110)
The football team’s offense is unlikely to force the Eagles into a heavy passing situation. I think the Eagles are relying on their running game and their defense in this game to get the victory.
Therefore, I think Smith offers a lot of value in this market. I project it closer to 3.1 receptions and 43 receiving yards. Smith is a dynamic wide receiver in the field, which means I’d rather try my luck attacking his receiving prop rather than his yardage. I would bet until -120.
Take: Less than 3.5 receptions at FanDuel
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