James Robinson, Kareem Hunt, Antonio Gibson, Chuba Hubbard, more choices

Our director of predictive analytics reveals his seven best NFL player props to bet this Sunday, with James Robinson and Kareem Hunt overs. Sean Koerner has an all-time record of 490-381-9 (56%) on NFL bets that he has tracked in the Action app, where you can follow all of his picks.

Note that these lines are changing rapidly, so it’s likely that some are out of date by the time you read this story, which is why we’ve included Koerner’s “bet on” threshold for each.


NFL player accessories to bet

DeSean Jackson over 19.5 yards of play (-113)

DJax is a boom-or-bust player whose results range from erasing that total on one take to finishing with zero yards. I’m going to bet on the “boom” end of his lineup here, as he has seen consistent play time in Las Vegas and we can note that for a run rate of around 45% in what should be a script of. heavy game. for the Raiders as 10-point underdogs (check real-time NFL odds here).

I project this closer to 29.5 meters.

James Robinson over 49.5 rushing yards (-110)

There was all kinds of confusion over Robinson’s playing time last week, and head coach Urban Meyer admitted he had no idea what was going on either. However, Trevor Lawrence made it clear that he wanted Robinson on the pitch to be “one of the [their] best players ”So this week Robinson should see a lot of touches as the coaching staff try to appease their QB franchise.

I throw Robinson closer to 58.5 meters.

  • Bet on: 52.5
  • Best Book: BetMGM

Kareem Hunt on 32.5 meters rush (-113)

Hunt was only able to run seven times for 20 yards in Week 12 after a five-game absence. He should be closer to 100% after the Browns’ Week 13 exemption and return to his normal 1B role behind Nick Chubb.

Hunt erased that number in every game before he got injured in week 6 and I’m projecting that closer to 40.5 yards.

Chuba Hubbard over 14.5 rush attempts (-130)

The Panthers fired offensive coordinator Joe Brady this week, and head coach Matt Rhule has said he wants to be a heavy offense.

Hubbard’s bulk should be there against the Falcons, but with choppy offensive line play I’m less confident in backing up his yardage prop. Therefore, I am targeting his accessory attempts because it is a bit safer. I project it closer to 16.5 attempts.

  • Bet on: 14.5 (-150)
  • Best Book: BetMGM

Ricky Seals-Jones under 30.5 recreational yards (-113)

RSJ is expected to take over as Washington’s starting TE with Logan Thomas on IR. However, rookie John Bates stepped up the last two games and is expected to reduce RSJ use enough to offer value on the underside here.

I project this closer to 24.5 meters.

Antonio Gibson over 66.5 rushing yards (-113)

The football team has the third-highest running rate in the NFL since being off in week 10. I expect them to continue with this approach as they try to keep the Cowboys offensive. on the key.

Gibson has erased that number in three of four games since leaving and I project that closer to 76.5 yards.

Davis Mills under 5.5 rushing yards (-125)

Mills has yet to clear that number in six starts this season. However, he managed to erase that number last week in relief on an 11-yard scrum. The Seahawks play a ton of zonal coverage, which makes him less likely to have a similar run this week.

These low running accessories can be fickle, but this one looks too good to be left out.

Kenny Golladay Under 40.5 Recreational Yards (-112)

Golladay is on track to overcome a rib injury, but there is a chance he will be limited. Mike Glennon will start his second straight game for injured Daniel Jones and the substitute’s style of play doesn’t match Golladay’s skills at all.

Last week, Glennon scored 6.8% in the NFL NextGenStats% Aggressiveness metric, which measures how often a quarterback throws himself into tight windows. This brand would be placed dead last among the qualifiers this season.

Golladay has averaged just 2.0 yards of separation this season (fourth lowest), and it seems unlikely that Glennon will force the ball into tight windows for Golladay. I project this closer to 35.5 meters, but Golladay has a very low floor.

Jalen Guyton Under 44.5 Recreational Yards (-120)

It looks like Mike Williams will be able to return from the COVID list in time to adjust while Keenan Allen has been kicked out. This opens up a ton of playtime and goals for the auxiliary receivers. However, Guyton’s usage can only increase to the extent that he is already a full-time player.

I would expect Josh Palmer to experience the biggest increase in production with Allen, and the market seems to be ignoring that with this accessory. I throw Guyton closer to 37.5 meters.

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What Are NFL Player Bets?

Bets on a player’s statistics or on various outcomes may be considered a player accessory. Betting on the plus or minus on yards by a quarterback pass, on the number of receptions from a wide receiver, and whether a running back will score a touchdown are all considered props. player.

To learn more about the different types of props you can bet on, check out our Betting 101 series.

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Lance B. Holton